Weekly Synthesis

Deviating from Trend

• Claude / ChatGPT YouTube Search Interest (US) (AI): 5.26 × — +5.9σ from trend
• Semiconductor Index (SOX) (Macro): 9.6k — +4.2σ from trend
• Cameco (Uranium) (Energy): $120.7 — +2.9σ from trend
• High Yield Credit Spreads (Macro): 2.9% — -2.9σ from trend
• Lithium & Battery Tech ETF (LIT) (Hard Constraints): $83.2 — +2.6σ from trend
• Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) (Fragmentation): $63.6 — +2.5σ from trend
• Copper Miners ETF (COPX) (Hard Constraints): $87.2 — +2.5σ from trend
• NextEra Energy (Energy): $92.0 — +2.4σ from trend

Regime Shifts

• US Dollar Index (DXY) (Macro): 98.23 Index — regime shift down on 2026-03-06
• High Yield Credit Spreads (Macro): 2.9% — regime shift down on 2026-04-13
• Bank Stocks (KBE) (Macro): $64.6 — regime shift up on 2026-04-16
• Regional Banks (KRE) (Macro): $70.4 — regime shift up on 2026-04-14
• Semiconductor Index (SOX) (Macro): 9.6k — regime shift up on 2026-02-25

Trend Acceleration

• Median Rent (Palo Alto): 4.0k — trend accelerating
• Durable Goods Orders (Fragmentation): $315.9B — trend accelerating
• Aggregate Hyperscaler Capex (AI): $112.5B — trend accelerating
• Cameco (Uranium) (Energy): $120.7 — trend accelerating
• Claude / ChatGPT YouTube Search Interest (US) (AI): 5.26 × — trend accelerating
• Median Earnings (Palo Alto): $128.8k — trend accelerating
• Median Age (Palo Alto): 42.50 years — trend accelerating
• Median Rent (Menlo Park): 3.9k — trend accelerating

Largest Moves

• Best SWE-bench Verified Score (AI): 93.9% — +2120.0% YoY
• Frontier 50% Task-Completion Time (AI): 11.98 hours — +1200.8% YoY
• Claude / ChatGPT YouTube Search Interest (US) (AI): 5.26 × — +1177.4% YoY
• China Share of Global EV Sales (Electric Tech Stack): 58.0% — -700.0% YoY
• Anthropic (Big Tech & AI Revenue): $4.8B — +533.3% YoY
• UK Government Debt (% GDP) (World War I): 155.0% — -500.0% YoY
• China Share of Global EV Battery Cell Output (Electric Tech Stack): 75.0% — +300.0% YoY
• Frontier Lab Revenue (AI): $13.5B — +297.1% YoY