Electricity scarcity returning as an economic constraint

Tracking demand growth, grid tightness, energy prices, and the supply response across solar, clean energy, and nuclear.

Last updated: Apr 1, 2026, 10:57 PM

Demand

Electricity & Gas Utility Output

Demand

31.04%

Industrial production index for electric and gas utilities — tracks total generation volume.

119.1Index

+28.21 Index vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+2.17 %

Industrial Production Index

Demand

2.30%

Broad industrial output drives electricity demand from factories, semiconductor plants, and reshoring.

102.6Index

+2.31 Index vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+1.44 %

Utilities ETF (XLU)

Demand

49.80%

Market's real-time pricing of the utility sector — rises when investors expect higher electricity demand and earnings.

46.11USD

+15.33 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+19.42 %

Tightness

Vistra Corp

Tightness

118.15%

Independent power producer with gas and nuclear fleet — outperforms when grid scarcity drives power prices higher.

154.0USD

+83.38 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+21.67 %

Constellation Energy

Tightness

52.06%

Largest U.S. nuclear fleet operator — data center power deals signal tightness in clean baseload supply.

279.5USD

+95.68 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+30.97 %

NextEra Energy

Tightness

55.11%

Largest U.S. utility by market cap — tracks clean energy capacity buildout against rising load.

92.85USD

+32.99 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+35.66 %

Price

U.S. Average Retail Electricity Price

Price

9.25%

Best household and business pain metric — average cents per kilowatt-hour across all sectors.

0.19¢/kWh

+0.02 ¢/kWh vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+5.59 %

Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price

Price

75.61%

Natural gas often sets marginal power prices in the U.S. — the key input cost for electricity generation.

2.88$/MMBtu

+1.24 $/MMBtu vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

-29.93 %

WTI Crude Oil

Price

23.83%

Oil prices propagate through energy costs, transportation, and inflation — an upstream driver of electricity costs.

104.7$/bbl

+20.15 $/bbl vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+45.67 %

Supply Response

Invesco Solar ETF (TAN)

Supply Response

25.47%

Tracks solar energy companies — the fastest-growing source of new U.S. electricity capacity.

56.27USD

+11.42 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+81.05 %

iShares Global Clean Energy (ICLN)

Supply Response

35.23%

Broad clean energy basket spanning solar, wind, and batteries — the market's read on supply buildout.

18.25USD

+4.75 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+60.93 %

Cameco (Uranium)

Supply Response

138.64%

World's largest public uranium producer — rising price signals nuclear renaissance as baseload supply response.

111.1USD

+64.56 USD vs 2Y ago

Level

YoY %

+162.18 %