Menlo Park, CA
Housing, demographics, economy, schools, and public safety indicators for Menlo Park, California. Most recent data from Feb 1.
Key Insight
Menlo Park is experiencing a structural population decline that is decoupling from its still-appreciating housing market, creating a hollowing-out dynamic where rising property values are actively shrinking the community.
Housing
Zillow Home Value Index for middle-tier homes.
$2.8M
Trend YoY growth is +4.8%, slowing by 12 bps/year over the last 25Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 8 consecutive periods. Latest: +4.5%, 30 bps below trend, a 0.1σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 1.4 pp due to an tough comparison base from Feb '25. At current levels, YoY would fall to +3.8% by May '26 as comparisons tighten.
Level
YoY %
y = 7.7% − 12 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Zillow Observed Rent Index for all home types.
3.9kUSD/mo
Trend YoY growth is +4.3%, accelerating by 45 bps/year over the last 9Y. Latest: +4.0%, 36 bps below trend, a 0.1σ deviation. At current levels, YoY would fall to +1.1% by May '26 as comparisons tighten.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.4% + 45 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Demographics
Total population estimate, ACS 5-year survey.
32.8kpeople
Trend YoY growth is -1.1%, slowing by 24 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: -1.6%, 55 bps below trend, a 0.4σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 1.8% − 24 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median income of all households in the past 12 months.
$206.6k
Trend YoY growth is +8.4%, accelerating by 54 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +4.2%, 4.3 pp below trend, a 1.6σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 2.3 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY %
y = 1.9% + 54 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Share of adults 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher.
72.7%
Trend YoY growth is +0.4%, accelerating by 2.0 pp/year over the last 10Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 4 consecutive periods. Latest: +0.2%, 22 bps below trend, a 0.3σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 50 bps due to an easy comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% + 2 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median age of the total population.
38.50years
Trend YoY growth is +0.6%, accelerating by 12 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +0.0%, 62 bps below trend, a 0.5σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = −0.8% + 12 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Families with a single parent and children under 18, as a share of all families.
Menlo Park (Census ACS B11003)
6.2%
Trend YoY growth is -0.7%, slowing by 8.5 pp/year over the last 10Y. Latest: -0.8%, 11 bps below trend, a 0.3σ deviation.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% − 8 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Economy
3.5%
Trend YoY growth is -0.2%, slowing by 1.9 pp/year over the last 20Y. Latest: -0.3%, 9 bps below trend, a 0.0σ deviation.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% − 2 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median earnings for full-time, year-round workers 16+.
$97.1k
Trend YoY growth is +7.1%, accelerating by 40 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +4.6%, 2.5 pp below trend, a 0.5σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 5.2 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY %
y = 2.2% + 40 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Public Safety
Violent crimes (murder, rape, robbery, assault) per 100k residents.
Menlo Park PD (FBI CDE)
182.4per 100k
Trend YoY growth is +13.7%, accelerating by 1.2 pp/year over the last 19Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 4 consecutive periods. Latest: -20.2%, 33.9 pp below trend, a 1.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 23.3 pp due to an easy comparison base from 2024.
Level
YoY %
y = −8.7% + 1.2 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Property crimes (burglary, theft, vehicle theft) per 100k residents.
Menlo Park PD (FBI CDE)
1.5kper 100k
Trend YoY growth is -2.5%, slowing by 8 bps/year over the last 19Y. Latest: -14.6%, 12.0 pp below trend, a 1.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 5.2 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2024.
Level
YoY %
y = −1.0% − 8 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Explore
Menlo Park, CA
Housing, demographics, economy, schools, and public safety indicators for Menlo Park, California. Most recent data from Feb 1.
Key Insight
Menlo Park is experiencing a structural population decline that is decoupling from its still-appreciating housing market, creating a hollowing-out dynamic where rising property values are actively shrinking the community.
Housing
Zillow Home Value Index for middle-tier homes.
$2.8M
Trend YoY growth is +4.8%, slowing by 12 bps/year over the last 25Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 8 consecutive periods. Latest: +4.5%, 30 bps below trend, a 0.1σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 1.4 pp due to an tough comparison base from Feb '25. At current levels, YoY would fall to +3.8% by May '26 as comparisons tighten.
Level
YoY %
y = 7.7% − 12 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Zillow Observed Rent Index for all home types.
3.9kUSD/mo
Trend YoY growth is +4.3%, accelerating by 45 bps/year over the last 9Y. Latest: +4.0%, 36 bps below trend, a 0.1σ deviation. At current levels, YoY would fall to +1.1% by May '26 as comparisons tighten.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.4% + 45 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Demographics
Total population estimate, ACS 5-year survey.
32.8kpeople
Trend YoY growth is -1.1%, slowing by 24 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: -1.6%, 55 bps below trend, a 0.4σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 1.8% − 24 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median income of all households in the past 12 months.
$206.6k
Trend YoY growth is +8.4%, accelerating by 54 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +4.2%, 4.3 pp below trend, a 1.6σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 2.3 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY %
y = 1.9% + 54 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Share of adults 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher.
72.7%
Trend YoY growth is +0.4%, accelerating by 2.0 pp/year over the last 10Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 4 consecutive periods. Latest: +0.2%, 22 bps below trend, a 0.3σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 50 bps due to an easy comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% + 2 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median age of the total population.
38.50years
Trend YoY growth is +0.6%, accelerating by 12 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +0.0%, 62 bps below trend, a 0.5σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = −0.8% + 12 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Families with a single parent and children under 18, as a share of all families.
Menlo Park (Census ACS B11003)
6.2%
Trend YoY growth is -0.7%, slowing by 8.5 pp/year over the last 10Y. Latest: -0.8%, 11 bps below trend, a 0.3σ deviation.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% − 8 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Economy
3.5%
Trend YoY growth is -0.2%, slowing by 1.9 pp/year over the last 20Y. Latest: -0.3%, 9 bps below trend, a 0.0σ deviation.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.2% − 2 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Median earnings for full-time, year-round workers 16+.
$97.1k
Trend YoY growth is +7.1%, accelerating by 40 bps/year over the last 12Y. Latest: +4.6%, 2.5 pp below trend, a 0.5σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 5.2 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY %
y = 2.2% + 40 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Public Safety
Violent crimes (murder, rape, robbery, assault) per 100k residents.
Menlo Park PD (FBI CDE)
182.4per 100k
Trend YoY growth is +13.7%, accelerating by 1.2 pp/year over the last 19Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 4 consecutive periods. Latest: -20.2%, 33.9 pp below trend, a 1.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 23.3 pp due to an easy comparison base from 2024.
Level
YoY %
y = −8.7% + 1.2 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Property crimes (burglary, theft, vehicle theft) per 100k residents.
Menlo Park PD (FBI CDE)
1.5kper 100k
Trend YoY growth is -2.5%, slowing by 8 bps/year over the last 19Y. Latest: -14.6%, 12.0 pp below trend, a 1.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 5.2 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2024.
Level
YoY %
y = −1.0% − 8 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend