Watches
Secondary market prices, Swiss export supply, buyer wealth, and liquidity conditions for the collector watch market. Updated just now.
Secondary Prices
Primary Supply
No data
Buyer Wealth
Collector-watch demand is heavily wealth-effect driven — cleanest macro series for buyer balance-sheet capacity.
184.1M$B
Trend YoY growth is +7.9%, accelerating by 16 bps/year over the last 25Y. Latest: +8.5%, 62 bps above trend, a 0.1σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 92 bps due to an tough comparison base from Oct '24.
Level
YoY %
y = 3.8% + 16 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Liquidity & Stress
Higher cash yields raise the opportunity cost of holding collector watches and usually pressure prices.
3.6%
Trend YoY growth is +0.7%, accelerating by 6.0 pp/year over the last 25Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 515 consecutive periods. Latest: -0.7%, 1.4 pp below trend, a 0.9σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 1.6 pp due to an easy comparison base from Apr '25.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = −0.8% + 6 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Best simple market-stress series for when discretionary luxury demand and speculative inventory carrying tend to tighten.
2.9%
Trend YoY growth is -0.3%, slowing by 1.3 pp/year over the last 25Y. Latest: -1.5%, 1.2 pp below trend, a 0.4σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 1.6 pp due to an tough comparison base from Apr '25.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.0% − 1 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
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Watches
Secondary market prices, Swiss export supply, buyer wealth, and liquidity conditions for the collector watch market. Updated just now.
Secondary Prices
Primary Supply
No data
Buyer Wealth
Collector-watch demand is heavily wealth-effect driven — cleanest macro series for buyer balance-sheet capacity.
184.1M$B
Trend YoY growth is +7.9%, accelerating by 16 bps/year over the last 25Y. Latest: +8.5%, 62 bps above trend, a 0.1σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 92 bps due to an tough comparison base from Oct '24.
Level
YoY %
y = 3.8% + 16 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Liquidity & Stress
Higher cash yields raise the opportunity cost of holding collector watches and usually pressure prices.
3.6%
Trend YoY growth is +0.7%, accelerating by 6.0 pp/year over the last 25Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 515 consecutive periods. Latest: -0.7%, 1.4 pp below trend, a 0.9σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 1.6 pp due to an easy comparison base from Apr '25.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = −0.8% + 6 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Best simple market-stress series for when discretionary luxury demand and speculative inventory carrying tend to tighten.
2.9%
Trend YoY growth is -0.3%, slowing by 1.3 pp/year over the last 25Y. Latest: -1.5%, 1.2 pp below trend, a 0.4σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 1.6 pp due to an tough comparison base from Apr '25.
Level
YoY Change (bps)
y = 0.0% − 1 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend