Vistra Corp
Independent power producer with gas and nuclear fleet — outperforms when grid scarcity drives power prices higher.
$152.8
Trend YoY growth is +156.5%, accelerating by 2.6 pp/month over the last 5Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 150 consecutive periods. Latest: +40.5%, 116.0 pp below trend, a 1.4σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 57.0 pp due to an easy comparison base from Apr 9.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.1% + 2.6 pp/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Rolling 1Y trend forecast
| Forecast made in | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 | Jun '26 | Jul '26 | Aug '26 | Sep '26 | Oct '26 | Nov '26 | Dec '26 | Jan '27 | Feb '27 | Mar '27 | Apr '27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May '25 | +161.2% | +150.1% | +139.3% | +128.2% | +117.0% | +106.2% | +95.1% | +84.3% | +73.2% | +62.0% | +52.0% | +40.8% | +30.1% | +18.9% | +8.1% | -3.0% | -14.2% | -24.9% | -36.1% | -46.9% | -58.0% | -69.1% | -79.2% | -90.3% |
| Jun '25 | +128.9% | +115.8% | +102.2% | +88.6% | +75.5% | +61.9% | +48.7% | +35.2% | +21.6% | +9.3% | -4.3% | -17.4% | -31.0% | -44.2% | -57.7% | -71.3% | -84.5% | -98.0% | -111.2% | -124.8% | -138.4% | -150.6% | -164.2% | |
| Jul '25 | +108.5% | +93.4% | +78.3% | +63.7% | +48.5% | +33.9% | +18.8% | +3.7% | -10.0% | -25.1% | -39.7% | -54.8% | -69.5% | -84.6% | -99.7% | -114.3% | -129.5% | -144.1% | -159.2% | -174.3% | -188.0% | -203.1% | ||
| Aug '25 | +96.5% | +79.5% | +63.0% | +45.9% | +29.4% | +12.4% | -4.6% | -20.0% | -37.1% | -53.6% | -70.6% | -87.1% | -104.2% | -121.2% | -137.7% | -154.8% | -171.2% | -188.3% | -205.3% | -220.7% | -237.8% | |||
| Sep '25 | +78.2% | +59.0% | +39.1% | +19.9% | +0.0% | -19.8% | -37.8% | -57.7% | -76.9% | -96.8% | -116.0% | -135.8% | -155.7% | -174.9% | -194.8% | -214.0% | -233.9% | -253.8% | -271.7% | -291.6% | ||||
| Oct '25 | +56.2% | +34.5% | +13.4% | -8.4% | -30.1% | -49.8% | -71.6% | -92.6% | -114.4% | -135.5% | -157.3% | -179.0% | -200.1% | -221.9% | -242.9% | -264.7% | -286.5% | -306.2% | -327.9% | |||||
| Nov '25 | +38.0% | +17.2% | -4.3% | -25.7% | -45.1% | -66.6% | -87.3% | -108.8% | -129.6% | -151.0% | -172.5% | -193.3% | -214.8% | -235.5% | -257.0% | -278.5% | -297.8% | -319.3% | ||||||
| Dec '25 | +25.6% | +6.6% | -12.4% | -29.5% | -48.4% | -66.8% | -85.7% | -104.1% | -123.1% | -142.0% | -160.4% | -179.3% | -197.7% | -216.6% | -235.6% | -252.7% | -271.7% | |||||||
| Jan '26 | +15.5% | -1.1% | -16.2% | -32.8% | -48.9% | -65.6% | -81.7% | -98.3% | -115.0% | -131.1% | -147.8% | -163.9% | -180.5% | -197.2% | -212.2% | -228.9% | ||||||||
| Feb '26 | +17.0% | +6.5% | -5.2% | -16.4% | -28.1% | -39.4% | -51.0% | -62.7% | -74.0% | -85.6% | -96.9% | -108.6% | -120.2% | -130.8% | -142.4% | |||||||||
| Mar '26 | +18.8% | +9.8% | +1.2% | -7.8% | -16.5% | -25.4% | -34.4% | -43.0% | -52.0% | -60.6% | -69.6% | -78.5% | -86.6% | -95.6% | ||||||||||
| Apr '26 | +8.5% | -1.2% | -11.3% | -21.1% | -31.2% | -41.3% | -51.0% | -61.1% | -70.9% | -81.0% | -91.1% | -100.2% | -110.3% |