Population
Total population estimate, ACS 5-year survey.
32.8kpeople
Trend YoY growth is -2.2%, slowing by 70 bps/year over the last 5Y. Latest: -1.6%, 51 bps above trend, a 0.3σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 1.3% − 70 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage (people)
Projected value (people)
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | 32.1k | 32.7k | 33.1k | 33.6k | 33.9k | 34.3k | 34.8k | 35.1k | 35.5k | 36.7k | 35.2k | 34.9k | 34.5k | 36.3k | 38.4k | 40.8k | 43.4k | 46.3k | 49.5k | 53.2k | 57.2k | 61.8k | 66.9k | 72.6k | 79.1k | 248% |
| '13 | 32.5k | 32.8k | 33.1k | 33.4k | 33.6k | 34.0k | 34.2k | 34.4k | 35.5k | 33.9k | 33.5k | 33.0k | 33.1k | 33.3k | 33.5k | 33.6k | 33.7k | 33.8k | 33.9k | 33.9k | 34.0k | 34.0k | 34.0k | 34.0k | 61% | |
| '14 | 32.8k | 33.1k | 33.4k | 33.6k | 33.9k | 34.1k | 34.4k | 35.4k | 33.9k | 33.5k | 32.9k | 33.0k | 33.1k | 33.2k | 33.3k | 33.3k | 33.4k | 33.4k | 33.3k | 33.3k | 33.3k | 33.2k | 33.1k | 62% | ||
| '15 | 33.1k | 33.3k | 33.6k | 33.9k | 34.0k | 34.3k | 35.3k | 33.8k | 33.4k | 32.8k | 32.8k | 32.7k | 32.6k | 32.5k | 32.4k | 32.2k | 32.0k | 31.8k | 31.5k | 31.2k | 30.9k | 30.5k | 62% | |||
| '16 | 33.3k | 33.5k | 33.8k | 34.0k | 34.2k | 35.2k | 33.6k | 33.2k | 32.6k | 32.4k | 32.1k | 31.8k | 31.5k | 31.1k | 30.7k | 30.2k | 29.7k | 29.1k | 28.5k | 27.9k | 27.3k | 71% | ||||
| '17 | 33.7k | 34.0k | 34.2k | 34.4k | 35.5k | 33.9k | 33.6k | 33.0k | 33.2k | 33.4k | 33.7k | 33.9k | 34.1k | 34.2k | 34.4k | 34.6k | 34.8k | 34.9k | 35.1k | 35.2k | 93% | |||||
| '18 | 33.9k | 34.1k | 34.3k | 35.4k | 33.8k | 33.5k | 32.9k | 33.0k | 33.0k | 33.1k | 33.1k | 33.1k | 33.1k | 33.0k | 33.0k | 32.9k | 32.8k | 32.7k | 32.5k | 95% | ||||||
| '19 | 34.1k | 34.4k | 35.5k | 33.9k | 33.5k | 33.0k | 33.2k | 33.4k | 33.6k | 33.8k | 34.0k | 34.1k | 34.3k | 34.4k | 34.6k | 34.7k | 34.9k | 35.0k | 126% | |||||||
| '20 | 35.2k | 36.1k | 34.7k | 34.5k | 34.1k | 35.6k | 37.3k | 39.3k | 41.6k | 44.2k | 47.1k | 50.5k | 54.3k | 58.6k | 63.6k | 69.3k | 75.7k | 289% | ||||||||
| '21 | 33.7k | 32.9k | 32.3k | 31.5k | 30.0k | 28.3k | 26.5k | 24.6k | 22.7k | 20.7k | 18.7k | 16.7k | 14.8k | 13.0k | 11.3k | 9.8k | 99% | |||||||||
| '22 | 33.3k | 32.4k | 31.6k | 30.2k | 28.6k | 26.9k | 25.0k | 23.0k | 21.0k | 19.0k | 17.1k | 15.2k | 13.3k | 11.6k | 10.0k | 64% | ||||||||||
| '23 | 32.8k | 31.7k | 30.3k | 28.8k | 27.0k | 25.1k | 23.1k | 21.1k | 19.1k | 17.0k | 15.1k | 13.2k | 11.4k | 9.8k | ||||||||||||
| '24 | 31.7k | 30.3k | 28.8k | 27.0k | 25.1k | 23.1k | 21.1k | 19.1k | 17.0k | 15.1k | 13.2k | 11.4k | 9.8k |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | +1.4% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +4.5% | +4.8% | +5.2% | +5.5% | +5.8% | +6.1% | +6.4% | +6.7% | +7.0% | +7.3% | +7.6% | +7.9% | +8.3% | +8.6% | +8.9% | 248% |
| '13 | +1.0% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | 61% | |
| '14 | +1.1% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | 62% | ||
| '15 | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.1% | 62% | |||
| '16 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.3% | 71% | ||||
| '17 | +1.0% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | 93% | |||||
| '18 | +0.6% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | 95% | ||||||
| '19 | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | 126% | |||||||
| '20 | +3.1% | +2.6% | +3.1% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +4.4% | +4.9% | +5.3% | +5.8% | +6.2% | +6.7% | +7.1% | +7.6% | +8.0% | +8.5% | +8.9% | +9.4% | 289% | ||||||||
| '21 | -4.4% | -2.2% | -3.1% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -6.4% | -7.2% | -8.0% | -8.9% | -9.7% | -10.5% | -11.3% | -12.2% | -13.0% | -13.8% | 99% | |||||||||
| '22 | -1.1% | -2.7% | -3.6% | -4.4% | -5.3% | -6.1% | -7.0% | -7.8% | -8.7% | -9.5% | -10.4% | -11.2% | -12.1% | -12.9% | -13.8% | 64% | ||||||||||
| '23 | -1.6% | -3.3% | -4.3% | -5.2% | -6.1% | -7.0% | -7.9% | -8.8% | -9.7% | -10.6% | -11.5% | -12.4% | -13.3% | -14.2% | ||||||||||||
| '24 | -3.3% | -4.3% | -5.2% | -6.1% | -7.0% | -7.9% | -8.8% | -9.7% | -10.6% | -11.5% | -12.4% | -13.3% | -14.2% |