Median Age
Median age of the total population.
38.50years
Trend YoY growth is +0.3%, slowing by 9 bps/year over the last 5Y. Latest: +0.0%, 30 bps below trend, a 0.4σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.8% − 9 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage (years)
Projected value (years)
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | 38.90 | 37.81 | 37.11 | 35.85 | 34.71 | 32.68 | 32.91 | 32.59 | 32.08 | 31.15 | 31.13 | 30.52 | 29.83 | 22.58 | 16.69 | 12.04 | 8.47 | 5.80 | 3.87 | 2.51 | 1.59 | 0.98 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 1682% |
| '13 | 38.90 | 38.57 | 37.83 | 37.19 | 35.57 | 36.41 | 36.65 | 36.70 | 36.27 | 36.89 | 36.84 | 36.69 | 34.83 | 32.93 | 31.01 | 29.08 | 27.16 | 25.26 | 23.40 | 21.58 | 19.82 | 18.13 | 16.51 | 14.97 | 378% | |
| '14 | 38.30 | 37.56 | 36.85 | 35.17 | 35.92 | 36.08 | 36.05 | 35.54 | 36.07 | 35.94 | 35.71 | 32.91 | 30.14 | 27.42 | 24.79 | 22.26 | 19.86 | 17.60 | 15.49 | 13.55 | 11.77 | 10.15 | 8.70 | 622% | ||
| '15 | 37.80 | 37.04 | 35.40 | 36.20 | 36.41 | 36.42 | 35.96 | 36.55 | 36.46 | 36.28 | 34.02 | 31.74 | 29.46 | 27.21 | 25.00 | 22.86 | 20.79 | 18.81 | 16.93 | 15.16 | 13.51 | 11.97 | 573% | |||
| '16 | 36.30 | 34.95 | 35.64 | 35.75 | 35.67 | 35.11 | 35.58 | 35.40 | 35.12 | 31.78 | 28.53 | 25.41 | 22.45 | 19.67 | 17.09 | 14.73 | 12.59 | 10.67 | 8.96 | 7.46 | 6.16 | 967% | ||||
| '17 | 37.30 | 37.34 | 37.86 | 38.17 | 37.99 | 38.91 | 39.13 | 39.25 | 40.14 | 41.17 | 42.36 | 43.71 | 45.24 | 46.96 | 48.89 | 51.05 | 53.46 | 56.15 | 59.15 | 62.49 | 151% | |||||
| '18 | 37.70 | 38.52 | 39.08 | 39.12 | 40.31 | 40.77 | 41.13 | 44.32 | 48.17 | 52.80 | 58.37 | 65.07 | 73.14 | 82.89 | 94.71 | 109.1 | 126.7 | 148.3 | 174.9 | 680% | ||||||
| '19 | 37.90 | 38.82 | 38.84 | 40.00 | 40.44 | 40.78 | 43.55 | 46.89 | 50.89 | 55.68 | 61.41 | 68.26 | 76.47 | 86.34 | 98.23 | 112.6 | 130.1 | 151.4 | 658% | |||||||
| '20 | 37.60 | 38.04 | 39.01 | 39.27 | 39.43 | 40.54 | 41.85 | 43.38 | 45.14 | 47.16 | 49.47 | 52.10 | 55.08 | 58.46 | 62.29 | 66.63 | 71.55 | 280% | ||||||||
| '21 | 38.40 | 38.48 | 38.46 | 38.34 | 38.06 | 37.67 | 37.17 | 36.56 | 35.84 | 35.03 | 34.13 | 33.14 | 32.08 | 30.96 | 29.78 | 28.55 | 23% | |||||||||
| '22 | 38.50 | 38.74 | 38.74 | 38.98 | 39.23 | 39.48 | 39.73 | 39.98 | 40.23 | 40.48 | 40.73 | 40.98 | 41.23 | 41.48 | 41.73 | |||||||||||
| '23 | 38.50 | 38.66 | 38.82 | 38.98 | 39.14 | 39.30 | 39.47 | 39.64 | 39.81 | 39.98 | 40.15 | 40.32 | 40.49 | 40.66 | ||||||||||||
| '24 | 38.66 | 38.82 | 38.98 | 39.14 | 39.30 | 39.47 | 39.64 | 39.81 | 39.98 | 40.15 | 40.32 | 40.49 | 40.66 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | -1.0% | -2.8% | -4.6% | -6.4% | -8.2% | -10.0% | -11.8% | -13.6% | -15.3% | -17.1% | -18.9% | -20.7% | -22.5% | -24.3% | -26.1% | -27.9% | -29.7% | -31.5% | -33.3% | -35.1% | -36.8% | -38.6% | -40.4% | -42.2% | -44.0% | 1682% |
| '13 | +0.0% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -3.9% | -4.3% | -4.7% | -5.1% | -5.5% | -5.8% | -6.2% | -6.6% | -7.0% | -7.4% | -7.8% | -8.1% | -8.5% | -8.9% | -9.3% | 378% | |
| '14 | -1.5% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -3.1% | -3.7% | -4.3% | -4.9% | -5.5% | -6.1% | -6.6% | -7.2% | -7.8% | -8.4% | -9.0% | -9.6% | -10.2% | -10.8% | -11.4% | -12.0% | -12.6% | -13.1% | -13.7% | -14.3% | 622% | ||
| '15 | -1.3% | -2.0% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -3.4% | -3.9% | -4.4% | -4.8% | -5.3% | -5.8% | -6.2% | -6.7% | -7.2% | -7.6% | -8.1% | -8.6% | -9.0% | -9.5% | -10.0% | -10.4% | -10.9% | -11.4% | 573% | |||
| '16 | -4.0% | -3.7% | -4.5% | -5.2% | -5.9% | -6.6% | -7.3% | -8.1% | -8.8% | -9.5% | -10.2% | -10.9% | -11.7% | -12.4% | -13.1% | -13.8% | -14.5% | -15.3% | -16.0% | -16.7% | -17.4% | 967% | ||||
| '17 | +2.8% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +3.5% | +3.8% | +4.1% | +4.4% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +5.3% | +5.7% | 151% | |||||
| '18 | +1.1% | +2.2% | +3.1% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +5.9% | +6.8% | +7.8% | +8.7% | +9.6% | +10.5% | +11.5% | +12.4% | +13.3% | +14.3% | +15.2% | +16.1% | +17.0% | +18.0% | 680% | ||||||
| '19 | +0.5% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +4.2% | +5.0% | +5.9% | +6.8% | +7.7% | +8.5% | +9.4% | +10.3% | +11.2% | +12.0% | +12.9% | +13.8% | +14.6% | +15.5% | +16.4% | 658% | |||||||
| '20 | -0.8% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +4.1% | +4.5% | +4.9% | +5.3% | +5.7% | +6.1% | +6.6% | +7.0% | +7.4% | 280% | ||||||||
| '21 | +2.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -2.9% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -4.1% | 23% | |||||||||
| '22 | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | |||||||||||
| '23 | +0.0% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | ||||||||||||
| '24 | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% |