Labor Force Participation Rate, 55+
Whether economies are offsetting aging by extending working lives — key to fiscal sustainability.
37.2%
Trend YoY growth is -0.5%, slowing by 1 bps/month over the last 5Y. Latest: -0.9%, 44 bps below trend, a 1.2σ deviation.
Level
YoY Change
y = 0.1% − 1 bps/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Rolling 1Y trend forecast
| Forecast made in | Apr '25 | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 | Jun '26 | Jul '26 | Aug '26 | Sep '26 | Oct '26 | Nov '26 | Dec '26 | Jan '27 | Feb '27 | Mar '27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| May '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | |
| Jun '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | ||
| Jul '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | |||
| Aug '25 | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | ||||
| Sep '25 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | |||||
| Oct '25 | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | ||||||
| Nov '25 | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.4% | |||||||
| Dec '25 | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | ||||||||
| Jan '26 | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.6% | |||||||||
| Feb '26 | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.0% | ||||||||||
| Mar '26 | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -2.2% |