Energy Production
Ratio of China's domestic primary energy production to US production. 1.0 = parity.
1.3×
Trend YoY growth is +0.0%, slowing by 0 bps/month over the last 32Y. Latest: +0.1%, 4 bps above trend, a 1.0σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.0% − 0 bps/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage (×)
Projected value (×)
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 300% |
| '13 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 100% | |
| '14 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.6 | 188% | ||
| '15 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -3.6 | 445% | |||
| '16 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 128% | ||||
| '17 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 100% | |||||
| '18 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 100% | ||||||
| '19 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 239% | |||||||
| '20 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 108% | ||||||||
| '21 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 67% | |||||||||
| '22 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 67% | ||||||||||
| '23 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | ||||||||||||
| '24 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | 300% |
| '13 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | 100% | |
| '14 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 188% | ||
| '15 | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | 445% | |||
| '16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | 128% | ||||
| '17 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | 100% | |||||
| '18 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | 100% | ||||||
| '19 | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | 239% | |||||||
| '20 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | 108% | ||||||||
| '21 | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.5% | 67% | |||||||||
| '22 | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | 67% | ||||||||||
| '23 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | ||||||||||||
| '24 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% |