U.S. Average Retail Electricity Price
Best household and business pain metric — average cents per kilowatt-hour across all sectors.
0.2¢/kWh
Trend YoY growth is +4.8%, slowing by 7 bps/month over the last 5Y. Deviations have remained above trend for 8 consecutive periods. Latest: +5.6%, 75 bps above trend, a 0.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 2.2 pp due to an easy comparison base from Feb 1.
Level
YoY %
y = 8.8% − 7 bps/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Rolling 1Y trend forecast
| Forecast made in | Mar '25 | Apr '25 | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 | Jun '26 | Jul '26 | Aug '26 | Sep '26 | Oct '26 | Nov '26 | Dec '26 | Jan '27 | Feb '27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar '25 | +3.6% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| Apr '25 | +3.7% | +3.6% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +0.8% | |
| May '25 | +3.9% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +3.6% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +2.3% | +2.2% | ||
| Jun '25 | +4.6% | +4.7% | +4.7% | +4.8% | +4.8% | +4.8% | +4.9% | +4.9% | +4.9% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +5.1% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +5.2% | +5.2% | +5.3% | +5.3% | +5.3% | |||
| Jul '25 | +5.3% | +5.4% | +5.6% | +5.7% | +5.9% | +6.0% | +6.2% | +6.3% | +6.4% | +6.6% | +6.7% | +6.9% | +7.0% | +7.1% | +7.3% | +7.4% | +7.6% | +7.7% | +7.9% | +8.0% | ||||
| Aug '25 | +6.1% | +6.3% | +6.5% | +6.8% | +7.0% | +7.2% | +7.5% | +7.7% | +7.9% | +8.1% | +8.4% | +8.6% | +8.8% | +9.1% | +9.3% | +9.5% | +9.8% | +10.0% | +10.2% | |||||
| Sep '25 | +6.2% | +6.4% | +6.7% | +6.9% | +7.1% | +7.4% | +7.6% | +7.8% | +8.0% | +8.3% | +8.5% | +8.7% | +9.0% | +9.2% | +9.4% | +9.7% | +9.9% | +10.1% | ||||||
| Oct '25 | +6.7% | +7.0% | +7.3% | +7.6% | +7.8% | +8.1% | +8.4% | +8.7% | +9.0% | +9.3% | +9.6% | +9.9% | +10.2% | +10.4% | +10.7% | +11.0% | +11.3% | |||||||
| Nov '25 | +7.2% | +7.5% | +7.8% | +8.2% | +8.5% | +8.9% | +9.2% | +9.6% | +9.9% | +10.2% | +10.6% | +10.9% | +11.3% | +11.6% | +12.0% | +12.3% | ||||||||
| Dec '25 | +7.6% | +8.0% | +8.4% | +8.7% | +9.1% | +9.5% | +9.8% | +10.2% | +10.6% | +11.0% | +11.3% | +11.7% | +12.1% | +12.5% | +12.9% | |||||||||
| Jan '26 | +8.3% | +8.8% | +9.2% | +9.6% | +10.0% | +10.4% | +10.8% | +11.3% | +11.7% | +12.1% | +12.5% | +13.0% | +13.4% | +13.8% | ||||||||||
| Feb '26 | +7.7% | +8.0% | +8.3% | +8.5% | +8.8% | +9.1% | +9.4% | +9.7% | +10.0% | +10.2% | +10.5% | +10.8% | +11.1% |