Educational Attainment
Share of adults 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher.
72.7%
Trend YoY growth is +0.8%, accelerating by 21 bps/year over the last 5Y. Latest: +0.2%, 65 bps below trend, a 0.8σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 74 bps due to an easy comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY Change
y = −0.2% + 21 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage (%)
Projected value (%)
| Forecast made in | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '14 | 70.9 | 70.7 | 68.9 | 69.0 | 68.4 | 66.7 | 65.9 | 66.1 | 67.5 | 66.7 | 66.2 | 59.0 | 51.1 | 42.5 | 33.2 | 23.1 | 12.4 | 1.0 | -11.1 | -23.9 | -37.4 | -51.6 | -66.5 | 1538% |
| '15 | 69.8 | 67.7 | 67.3 | 66.3 | 64.2 | 62.9 | 62.6 | 63.6 | 62.3 | 61.4 | 48.9 | 35.3 | 20.6 | 4.7 | -12.4 | -30.6 | -50.0 | -70.5 | -92.2 | -115.0 | -138.9 | -164.1 | 3128% | |
| '16 | 70.6 | 70.3 | 70.1 | 68.8 | 68.4 | 69.0 | 70.8 | 70.5 | 70.4 | 67.8 | 64.9 | 61.8 | 58.4 | 54.6 | 50.6 | 46.4 | 41.8 | 37.0 | 31.9 | 26.5 | 20.8 | 649% | ||
| '17 | 70.7 | 70.4 | 69.2 | 69.0 | 69.7 | 71.6 | 71.3 | 71.3 | 69.7 | 67.9 | 65.9 | 63.8 | 61.4 | 58.8 | 56.1 | 53.2 | 50.0 | 46.7 | 43.2 | 39.5 | 396% | |||
| '18 | 69.7 | 69.0 | 68.7 | 69.5 | 71.4 | 71.1 | 71.1 | 69.4 | 67.4 | 65.3 | 63.0 | 60.5 | 57.9 | 55.0 | 52.0 | 48.8 | 45.4 | 41.9 | 38.1 | 570% | ||||
| '19 | 69.6 | 69.4 | 70.3 | 72.4 | 72.4 | 72.6 | 72.5 | 72.4 | 72.3 | 72.3 | 72.3 | 72.3 | 72.3 | 72.3 | 72.4 | 72.5 | 72.6 | 72.7 | 120% | |||||
| '20 | 70.5 | 70.6 | 72.7 | 72.6 | 72.8 | 73.0 | 73.1 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.5 | 73.7 | 73.8 | 74.0 | 74.1 | 74.2 | 74.4 | 74.5 | 115% | ||||||
| '21 | 72.6 | 74.8 | 75.3 | 76.0 | 80.0 | 84.5 | 89.6 | 95.3 | 101.7 | 108.5 | 116.0 | 124.1 | 132.8 | 142.0 | 151.8 | 162.3 | 1800% | |||||||
| '22 | 72.5 | 74.1 | 74.7 | 77.0 | 79.8 | 82.9 | 86.5 | 90.5 | 94.8 | 99.6 | 104.7 | 110.3 | 116.3 | 122.6 | 129.4 | 700% | ||||||||
| '23 | 72.7 | 73.2 | 73.6 | 74.0 | 74.4 | 74.7 | 75.0 | 75.2 | 75.4 | 75.6 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.8 | 75.8 | ||||||||||
| '24 | 73.2 | 73.6 | 74.0 | 74.4 | 74.7 | 75.0 | 75.2 | 75.4 | 75.6 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.8 | 75.8 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '14 | +0.5% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -5.1% | -5.8% | -6.5% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.6% | -9.3% | -10.0% | -10.7% | -11.4% | -12.1% | -12.8% | -13.5% | -14.2% | -14.9% | 1538% |
| '15 | -1.1% | -2.1% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -9.0% | -10.2% | -11.3% | -12.5% | -13.6% | -14.8% | -15.9% | -17.1% | -18.2% | -19.4% | -20.5% | -21.7% | -22.8% | -24.0% | -25.1% | 3128% | |
| '16 | +0.8% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -2.9% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -5.1% | -5.4% | -5.7% | 649% | ||
| '17 | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.4% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -2.9% | -3.1% | -3.3% | -3.5% | -3.7% | 396% | |||
| '18 | -1.0% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -3.6% | -3.7% | 570% | ||||
| '19 | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | 120% | |||||
| '20 | +0.9% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | 115% | ||||||
| '21 | +2.1% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +3.4% | +3.9% | +4.5% | +5.1% | +5.7% | +6.3% | +6.9% | +7.5% | +8.1% | +8.7% | +9.3% | +9.8% | +10.4% | 1800% | |||||||
| '22 | -0.1% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +4.4% | +4.8% | +5.2% | +5.6% | +6.0% | +6.4% | +6.8% | 700% | ||||||||
| '23 | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | ||||||||||
| '24 | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% |