Median Earnings
Median earnings for full-time, year-round workers 16+.
$97.1k
Trend YoY growth is +10.1%, accelerating by 1.6 pp/year over the last 5Y. Latest: +4.6%, 5.6 pp below trend, a 1.5σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 3.4 pp due to an tough comparison base from 2022.
Level
YoY %
y = 2.0% + 1.6 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage (USD)
Projected value (USD)
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | $55.3k | $46.8k | $45.4k | $41.6k | $34.7k | $27.8k | $21.1k | $14.0k | $6.3k | $-1.2k | $-10.3k | $-21.5k | $-32.9k | $14.7k | $-8.2k | $5.4k | $-4.2k | $3.7k | $-3.6k | $4.0k | $-4.8k | $6.2k | $-8.8k | $13.4k | $-22.0k | 2694% |
| '13 | $61.5k | $67.2k | $73.8k | $76.0k | $78.2k | $82.0k | $85.4k | $85.8k | $94.3k | $107.5k | $122.6k | $130.7k | $179.2k | $250.4k | $356.0k | $515.3k | $758.8k | $1.1M | $1.7M | $2.7M | $4.2M | $6.7M | $11.0M | $18.1M | 751% | |
| '14 | $66.0k | $72.4k | $74.2k | $76.1k | $79.4k | $82.3k | $82.4k | $90.1k | $102.3k | $116.3k | $123.4k | $159.3k | $208.6k | $277.3k | $373.9k | $511.2k | $709.0k | $996.7k | $1.4M | $2.1M | $3.0M | $4.5M | $6.7M | 657% | ||
| '15 | $66.4k | $69.3k | $69.9k | $71.8k | $73.3k | $72.3k | $77.9k | $87.1k | $97.6k | $102.1k | $107.5k | $113.2k | $119.4k | $126.0k | $133.0k | $140.6k | $148.8k | $157.6k | $167.0k | $177.2k | $188.1k | $199.9k | 155% | |||
| '16 | $66.9k | $69.0k | $70.8k | $72.3k | $71.2k | $76.6k | $85.7k | $95.9k | $100.3k | $103.5k | $107.0k | $110.5k | $114.2k | $118.0k | $122.0k | $126.2k | $130.5k | $134.9k | $139.6k | $144.4k | $149.5k | 87% | ||||
| '17 | $68.7k | $66.9k | $66.6k | $63.9k | $67.1k | $73.0k | $79.4k | $80.8k | $65.2k | $51.2k | $38.9k | $28.7k | $20.5k | $14.1k | $9.4k | $6.0k | $3.7k | $2.2k | $1.3k | $692.0 | 241% | |||||
| '18 | $70.1k | $70.1k | $68.4k | $73.1k | $80.9k | $89.7k | $93.0k | $88.3k | $83.0k | $77.4k | $71.5k | $65.4k | $59.2k | $53.2k | $47.3k | $41.6k | $36.3k | $31.3k | $26.7k | 125% | ||||||
| '19 | $69.0k | $68.9k | $74.0k | $82.4k | $91.9k | $95.8k | $94.2k | $92.3k | $90.1k | $87.7k | $85.1k | $82.3k | $79.4k | $76.2k | $73.0k | $69.6k | $66.2k | $62.8k | 108% | |||||||
| '20 | $74.3k | $78.1k | $88.1k | $99.5k | $105.0k | $114.5k | $126.0k | $139.9k | $156.7k | $177.0k | $201.6k | $231.6k | $268.3k | $313.5k | $369.3k | $438.6k | $525.1k | 53% | ||||||||
| '21 | $83.0k | $92.7k | $105.9k | $113.1k | $134.4k | $162.9k | $201.5k | $253.9k | $326.0k | $426.5k | $568.1k | $770.4k | $1.1M | $1.5M | $2.1M | $3.1M | 105% | |||||||||
| '22 | $92.8k | $107.9k | $116.1k | $142.6k | $180.0k | $233.1k | $309.5k | $421.2k | $587.1k | $837.9k | $1.2M | $1.8M | $2.8M | $4.3M | $6.9M | 257% | ||||||||||
| '23 | $97.1k | $108.5k | $123.1k | $141.7k | $165.5k | $195.9k | $235.1k | $286.1k | $352.9k | $441.0k | $558.4k | $716.3k | $930.6k | $1.2M | ||||||||||||
| '24 | $108.5k | $123.1k | $141.7k | $165.5k | $195.9k | $235.1k | $286.1k | $352.9k | $441.0k | $558.4k | $716.3k | $930.6k | $1.2M |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | '12 | '13 | '14 | '15 | '16 | '17 | '18 | '19 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | '30 | '31 | '32 | '33 | '34 | '35 | '36 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| '12 | -4.6% | -15.4% | -26.2% | -36.9% | -47.7% | -58.5% | -69.3% | -80.0% | -90.8% | -101.6% | -112.4% | -123.2% | -133.9% | -144.7% | -155.5% | -166.3% | -177.0% | -187.8% | -198.6% | -209.4% | -220.1% | -230.9% | -241.7% | -252.5% | -263.3% | 2694% |
| '13 | +11.2% | +9.3% | +11.9% | +14.4% | +16.9% | +19.4% | +22.0% | +24.5% | +27.0% | +29.6% | +32.1% | +34.6% | +37.1% | +39.7% | +42.2% | +44.7% | +47.3% | +49.8% | +52.3% | +54.8% | +57.4% | +59.9% | +62.4% | +65.0% | 751% | |
| '14 | +7.3% | +9.8% | +11.8% | +13.7% | +15.6% | +17.5% | +19.4% | +21.4% | +23.3% | +25.2% | +27.1% | +29.1% | +31.0% | +32.9% | +34.8% | +36.7% | +38.7% | +40.6% | +42.5% | +44.4% | +46.4% | +48.3% | +50.2% | 657% | ||
| '15 | +0.7% | +4.4% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +4.7% | +4.8% | +4.9% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +5.3% | +5.3% | +5.4% | +5.5% | +5.6% | +5.7% | +5.8% | +5.9% | +6.0% | +6.1% | +6.2% | +6.3% | 155% | |||
| '16 | +0.8% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +3.5% | 87% | ||||
| '17 | +2.6% | -2.6% | -5.0% | -7.3% | -9.7% | -12.1% | -14.5% | -16.8% | -19.2% | -21.6% | -23.9% | -26.3% | -28.7% | -31.1% | -33.4% | -35.8% | -38.2% | -40.5% | -42.9% | -45.3% | 241% | |||||
| '18 | +2.0% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -3.4% | -4.2% | -5.1% | -5.9% | -6.8% | -7.7% | -8.5% | -9.4% | -10.2% | -11.1% | -12.0% | -12.8% | -13.7% | -14.6% | 125% | ||||||
| '19 | -1.6% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -3.0% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -3.9% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -4.9% | -5.2% | 108% | |||||||
| '20 | +7.7% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +7.1% | +8.1% | +9.1% | +10.1% | +11.0% | +12.0% | +13.0% | +13.9% | +14.9% | +15.9% | +16.8% | +17.8% | +18.8% | +19.7% | 53% | ||||||||
| '21 | +11.7% | +11.7% | +14.1% | +16.5% | +18.9% | +21.2% | +23.6% | +26.0% | +28.4% | +30.8% | +33.2% | +35.6% | +38.0% | +40.4% | +42.8% | +45.2% | 105% | |||||||||
| '22 | +11.9% | +16.3% | +19.6% | +22.9% | +26.2% | +29.5% | +32.8% | +36.1% | +39.4% | +42.7% | +46.0% | +49.3% | +52.6% | +55.9% | +59.2% | 257% | ||||||||||
| '23 | +4.6% | +11.8% | +13.5% | +15.1% | +16.7% | +18.4% | +20.0% | +21.7% | +23.3% | +25.0% | +26.6% | +28.3% | +29.9% | +31.6% | ||||||||||||
| '24 | +11.8% | +13.5% | +15.1% | +16.7% | +18.4% | +20.0% | +21.7% | +23.3% | +25.0% | +26.6% | +28.3% | +29.9% | +31.6% |