Gross Federal Debt (% of National Wealth)
Federal debt relative to household net worth — measures the debt burden against the nation's total wealth base.
20.9% of net worth
Trend YoY growth is -0.0%, slowing by 0 bps/month over the last 4Y. Latest: -0.4%, 40 bps below trend, a 0.4σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 0.0% − 0 bps/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Rolling 1Y trend forecast
| Forecast made in | Nov '24 | Dec '24 | Jan '25 | Feb '25 | Mar '25 | Apr '25 | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 | Jun '26 | Jul '26 | Aug '26 | Sep '26 | Oct '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov '24 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.3% | -2.4% | -2.5% |
| Dec '24 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.3% | -2.4% | -2.5% | |
| Jan '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | ||
| Feb '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | |||
| Mar '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | ||||
| Apr '25 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | |||||
| May '25 | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | ||||||
| Jun '25 | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | |||||||
| Jul '25 | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | ||||||||
| Aug '25 | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | |||||||||
| Sep '25 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | ||||||||||
| Oct '25 | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.0% |