Constellation Energy

Largest U.S. nuclear fleet operator — data center power deals signal tightness in clean baseload supply.

$280.3

Trend YoY growth is +60.2%, slowing by 37 bps/month over the last 3Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 24 consecutive periods. Latest: +37.7%, 22.5 pp below trend, a 0.5σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 51.2 pp due to an easy comparison base from Apr 9.

Level

YoY %

y = 74.8% 37 bps/mo · t

Deviation from trend

Forecast

Rolling 1Y trend forecast

Forecast made inMay '25Jun '25Jul '25Aug '25Sep '25Oct '25Nov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26Dec '26Jan '27Feb '27Mar '27Apr '27
May '25+52.5%+44.1%+36.1%+27.7%+19.4%+11.3%+3.0%-5.1%-13.4%-21.7%-29.3%-37.6%-45.7%-54.0%-62.1%-70.4%-78.7%-86.8%-95.1%-103.2%-111.5%-119.9%-127.4%-135.7%
Jun '25+44.5%+36.7%+28.7%+20.7%+13.0%+5.0%-2.7%-10.7%-18.7%-25.9%-33.9%-41.6%-49.6%-57.3%-65.3%-73.3%-81.0%-89.0%-96.8%-104.8%-112.7%-120.0%-127.9%
Jul '25+39.2%+31.6%+24.0%+16.6%+9.0%+1.6%-6.0%-13.6%-20.5%-28.2%-35.5%-43.2%-50.5%-58.2%-65.8%-73.2%-80.8%-88.2%-95.8%-103.4%-110.3%-117.9%
Aug '25+40.6%+33.4%+26.4%+19.2%+12.1%+4.9%-2.3%-8.9%-16.1%-23.1%-30.3%-37.3%-44.6%-51.8%-58.8%-66.1%-73.1%-80.3%-87.5%-94.1%-101.3%
Sep '25+36.7%+29.2%+21.5%+14.0%+6.3%-1.5%-8.5%-16.2%-23.7%-31.4%-38.9%-46.7%-54.4%-61.9%-69.6%-77.1%-84.9%-92.6%-99.6%-107.3%
Oct '25+32.1%+24.6%+17.4%+10.0%+2.6%-4.2%-11.6%-18.8%-26.2%-33.4%-40.9%-48.3%-55.5%-62.9%-70.1%-77.6%-85.0%-91.7%-99.2%
Nov '25+33.1%+27.3%+21.3%+15.3%+9.9%+3.9%-2.0%-8.0%-13.8%-19.8%-25.8%-31.6%-37.7%-43.5%-49.5%-55.5%-60.9%-66.9%
Dec '25+33.3%+28.2%+23.0%+18.4%+13.3%+8.3%+3.1%-1.8%-7.0%-12.1%-17.1%-22.2%-27.2%-32.3%-37.5%-42.1%-47.2%
Jan '26+36.1%+32.3%+28.9%+25.1%+21.4%+17.6%+13.9%+10.0%+6.2%+2.5%-1.3%-5.0%-8.8%-12.6%-16.0%-19.8%
Feb '26+34.5%+32.9%+31.1%+29.4%+27.6%+25.9%+24.1%+22.3%+20.6%+18.8%+17.1%+15.3%+13.5%+11.9%+10.1%
Mar '26+35.3%+34.7%+34.0%+33.4%+32.7%+32.1%+31.4%+30.8%+30.1%+29.5%+28.8%+28.2%+27.6%+26.9%
Apr '26+31.8%+30.1%+28.4%+26.8%+25.1%+23.4%+21.7%+20.0%+18.4%+16.7%+15.0%+13.4%+11.7%