Tesla
Quarterly revenue
24.90$B
Trend YoY growth is -9.0%, slowing by 11.1 pp/year over the last 3Y. Latest: -3.1%, 5.9 pp above trend, a 0.5σ deviation.
Level
YoY %
y = 21.5% − 11.1 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage ($B)
Projected value ($B)
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | 19.34 | 23.15 | 21.85 | 21.27 | 15.22 | 16.82 | 19.88 | 16.61 | 9.54 | 228% |
| Q2 '25 | 22.50 | 20.09 | 18.69 | 12.70 | 13.21 | 14.54 | 11.12 | 4.78 | 520% | |
| Q3 '25 | 28.10 | 26.90 | 20.74 | 24.70 | 31.57 | 28.62 | 24.38 | 246% | ||
| Q4 '25 | 24.90 | 20.75 | 25.06 | 32.46 | 29.80 | 25.71 | ||||
| Q1 '26 | 20.75 | 25.06 | 32.46 | 29.80 | 25.71 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | -9.2% | -9.2% | -13.2% | -17.3% | -21.3% | -25.3% | -29.2% | -33.3% | -37.3% | 228% |
| Q2 '25 | -11.8% | -20.2% | -27.3% | -34.4% | -41.3% | -48.3% | -55.3% | -62.4% | 520% | |
| Q3 '25 | +11.6% | +4.6% | +7.2% | +9.8% | +12.3% | +14.9% | +17.5% | 246% | ||
| Q4 '25 | -3.1% | +7.3% | +11.4% | +15.5% | +19.7% | +23.9% | ||||
| Q1 '26 | +7.3% | +11.4% | +15.5% | +19.7% | +23.9% |