OpenAI
Quarterly revenue
6.00$B
Trend YoY growth is +81.8%, slowing by 227.7 pp/year over the last 2Y. Latest: +242.9%, 161.1 pp above trend, a 1.0σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 168.1 pp due to an easy comparison base from Jan 1.
Level
YoY %
y = 537.8% − 227.7 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage ($B)
Projected value ($B)
| Forecast made in | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | Q2 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 '25 | 2.40 | 1.76 | 1.31 | 0.72 | -0.40 | -2.46 | -5.74 | -11.67 | 1.01 | 98% |
| Q3 '25 | 3.25 | 3.65 | 4.98 | 6.91 | 9.48 | 12.56 | 17.96 | 20.94 | 22% | |
| Q4 '25 | 4.25 | 6.20 | 9.20 | 13.41 | 18.80 | 28.31 | 46.08 | 5% | ||
| Q1 '26 | 6.00 | 9.03 | 13.13 | 18.37 | 27.63 | 44.08 | ||||
| Q2 '26 | 9.03 | 13.13 | 18.37 | 27.63 | 44.08 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | Q2 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 '25 | +159.5% | +60.4% | +0.9% | -58.6% | -116.8% | -175.6% | -235.1% | -294.6% | -352.7% | 98% |
| Q3 '25 | +195.4% | +180.6% | +184.4% | +188.1% | +191.8% | +195.5% | +199.3% | +203.0% | 22% | |
| Q4 '25 | +226.9% | +254.5% | +283.4% | +312.7% | +342.3% | +371.9% | +400.8% | 5% | ||
| Q1 '26 | +242.9% | +276.1% | +304.0% | +332.3% | +360.5% | +388.2% | ||||
| Q2 '26 | +276.1% | +304.0% | +332.3% | +360.5% | +388.2% |