Microsoft
Quarterly revenue
81.27$B
Trend YoY growth is +18.2%, accelerating by 2.8 pp/year over the last 3Y. Latest: +16.7%, 1.5 pp below trend, a 0.6σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 3.2 pp due to an easy comparison base from Oct 1.
Level
YoY %
y = 10.6% + 2.8 pp/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage ($B)
Projected value ($B)
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | 70.07 | 72.38 | 72.72 | 76.53 | 76.34 | 82.56 | 83.15 | 86.22 | 80.26 | 39% |
| Q2 '25 | 76.44 | 76.52 | 81.73 | 82.74 | 90.79 | 92.80 | 97.67 | 100.0 | 7% | |
| Q3 '25 | 77.67 | 84.50 | 86.68 | 96.32 | 99.67 | 106.2 | 115.3 | 27% | ||
| Q4 '25 | 81.27 | 83.59 | 91.99 | 94.29 | 99.54 | 103.3 | ||||
| Q1 '26 | 83.59 | 91.99 | 94.29 | 99.54 | 103.3 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | +13.3% | +11.8% | +10.9% | +9.9% | +8.9% | +8.0% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +5.1% | 39% |
| Q2 '25 | +18.1% | +16.7% | +17.4% | +18.1% | +18.8% | +19.5% | +20.2% | +20.9% | 7% | |
| Q3 '25 | +18.4% | +21.3% | +23.7% | +26.0% | +28.3% | +30.7% | +33.0% | 27% | ||
| Q4 '25 | +16.7% | +19.3% | +20.3% | +21.4% | +22.5% | +23.5% | ||||
| Q1 '26 | +19.3% | +20.3% | +21.4% | +22.5% | +23.5% |