iShares MSCI China (MCHI)
Broad China equity exposure including A-shares — widest market signal available.
$57.2
Trend YoY growth is +26.9%, accelerating by 87 bps/month over the last 5Y. Deviations have remained below trend for 40 consecutive periods. Latest: +21.9%, 5.1 pp below trend, a 0.2σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is depressed by 5.9 pp due to an tough comparison base from Apr 9.
Level
YoY %
y = −25.6% + 87 bps/mo · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Rolling 1Y trend forecast
| Forecast made in | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 | Jun '26 | Jul '26 | Aug '26 | Sep '26 | Oct '26 | Nov '26 | Dec '26 | Jan '27 | Feb '27 | Mar '27 | Apr '27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May '25 | +39.0% | +43.1% | +47.0% | +51.1% | +55.2% | +59.2% | +63.3% | +67.2% | +71.3% | +75.4% | +79.1% | +83.2% | +87.2% | +91.3% | +95.3% | +99.3% | +103.4% | +107.4% | +111.5% | +115.5% | +119.6% | +123.7% | +127.4% | +131.4% |
| Jun '25 | +39.1% | +42.8% | +46.6% | +50.3% | +54.0% | +57.8% | +61.4% | +65.2% | +69.0% | +72.4% | +76.2% | +79.9% | +83.7% | +87.3% | +91.1% | +94.9% | +98.6% | +102.3% | +106.0% | +109.8% | +113.6% | +117.0% | +120.8% | |
| Jul '25 | +39.7% | +43.1% | +46.5% | +49.8% | +53.2% | +56.5% | +59.9% | +63.3% | +66.4% | +69.7% | +73.0% | +76.4% | +79.7% | +83.1% | +86.5% | +89.8% | +93.2% | +96.5% | +99.9% | +103.3% | +106.4% | +109.8% | ||
| Aug '25 | +41.0% | +43.8% | +46.6% | +49.4% | +52.2% | +55.0% | +57.9% | +60.4% | +63.3% | +66.0% | +68.9% | +71.6% | +74.5% | +77.3% | +80.1% | +82.9% | +85.7% | +88.5% | +91.4% | +93.9% | +96.8% | |||
| Sep '25 | +43.7% | +46.2% | +48.7% | +51.2% | +53.7% | +56.3% | +58.6% | +61.1% | +63.6% | +66.1% | +68.6% | +71.1% | +73.6% | +76.1% | +78.7% | +81.1% | +83.7% | +86.2% | +88.5% | +91.0% | ||||
| Oct '25 | +43.9% | +46.1% | +48.2% | +50.4% | +52.5% | +54.5% | +56.7% | +58.8% | +60.9% | +63.0% | +65.2% | +67.4% | +69.5% | +71.6% | +73.7% | +75.9% | +78.1% | +80.0% | +82.2% | |||||
| Nov '25 | +42.0% | +43.6% | +45.3% | +47.0% | +48.5% | +50.2% | +51.9% | +53.6% | +55.2% | +56.9% | +58.6% | +60.2% | +61.9% | +63.5% | +65.2% | +66.9% | +68.4% | +70.1% | ||||||
| Dec '25 | +39.7% | +40.7% | +41.6% | +42.5% | +43.5% | +44.4% | +45.4% | +46.4% | +47.4% | +48.3% | +49.3% | +50.3% | +51.2% | +52.2% | +53.2% | +54.0% | +55.0% | |||||||
| Jan '26 | +37.4% | +37.8% | +38.2% | +38.6% | +38.9% | +39.3% | +39.7% | +40.1% | +40.5% | +40.8% | +41.2% | +41.6% | +42.0% | +42.3% | +42.7% | +43.1% | ||||||||
| Feb '26 | +36.1% | +36.2% | +36.2% | +36.3% | +36.3% | +36.4% | +36.5% | +36.5% | +36.6% | +36.6% | +36.7% | +36.8% | +36.8% | +36.9% | +36.9% | |||||||||
| Mar '26 | +30.5% | +30.0% | +29.5% | +28.9% | +28.4% | +27.9% | +27.4% | +26.8% | +26.3% | +25.8% | +25.3% | +24.7% | +24.2% | +23.7% | ||||||||||
| Apr '26 | +23.3% | +22.0% | +20.7% | +19.4% | +18.1% | +16.8% | +15.5% | +14.1% | +12.8% | +11.5% | +10.2% | +9.0% | +7.7% |