Amazon
Quarterly revenue
213.4$B
Trend YoY growth is +12.5%, accelerating by 60 bps/year over the last 3Y. Latest: +13.6%, 1.1 pp above trend, a 0.7σ deviation. The latest YoY reading is boosted by 1.4 pp due to an easy comparison base from Oct 1.
Level
YoY %
y = 10.8% + 60 bps/yr · t
Deviation from trend
Forecast
Projected value by forecast vintage ($B)
Projected value ($B)
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | 155.7 | 161.0 | 172.1 | 202.4 | 167.0 | 179.1 | 191.5 | 225.7 | 175.8 | 38% |
| Q2 '25 | 167.7 | 178.1 | 211.4 | 176.0 | 190.5 | 205.5 | 244.5 | 202.5 | 9% | |
| Q3 '25 | 180.2 | 215.6 | 180.8 | 197.1 | 214.1 | 256.5 | 219.8 | 9% | ||
| Q4 '25 | 213.4 | 180.6 | 197.1 | 214.4 | 257.2 | 220.5 | ||||
| Q1 '26 | 180.6 | 197.1 | 214.4 | 257.2 | 220.5 |
YoY change forecast
| Forecast made in | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 | Q4 '26 | Q1 '27 | MAPE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '25 | +8.6% | +8.8% | +8.3% | +7.8% | +7.3% | +6.8% | +6.3% | +5.8% | +5.3% | 38% |
| Q2 '25 | +13.3% | +12.1% | +12.6% | +13.1% | +13.6% | +14.1% | +14.6% | +15.1% | 9% | |
| Q3 '25 | +13.4% | +14.8% | +16.2% | +17.5% | +18.8% | +20.2% | +21.6% | 9% | ||
| Q4 '25 | +13.6% | +16.0% | +17.5% | +19.0% | +20.5% | +22.1% | ||||
| Q1 '26 | +16.0% | +17.5% | +19.0% | +20.5% | +22.1% |